1
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- Dan Pasciuti
- Department of Sociology
- Johns Hopkins University
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2
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- Tertius Chandler and Gerald Fox (1974)
- 3000 Years of Urban Growth
- Tertius Chandler (1987)
- 4000 Years of Urban Growth
- Paul Bairoch (1988)
- Cities and Economic Development
- La population des villes européennes,
- 800-1850 : banque de données et
- analyse sommaire des résultats
- Jan DeVries (1984)
- European Urbanization 1500-1800
- Roland Fletcher (1995)
- The Limits of Settlement Growth
- George Modelski (2003)
- World Cities, -3000 to 2000
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3
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- Revised and updated 1987
- Based upon resources at UC Berkeley
- The “Multiplier” Method
- Total Size Estimates
- Area Estimates
- Institutional Factors
- Families, Houses, Militia, Religious Institutions
- Volume of Local Activity
- Disasters
- Comparisons
- Kaifeng (1642) and Hangchow (1862) to 1930 proportions
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4
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- Began from Chandler and Fox (1974)
- Expanded database
- European cities by 15% and Latin America by 50%
- Indicators
- Urban Area
- Residential Space
- Density of Occupation
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5
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- Examines 379 cities of populations greater than 10,000
- National Census data from 1800 (364)
- Additional Cities (15)
- Indicators
- Baptisms and Burials
- Church attendance
- Archives
- “General knowledge of the city”
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6
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- Separate Databases of Urban Populations
- Comparison of total population of 91 cities with populations over
20,000 (from De Long and Shleifer 1992)
- 0.6 Percent variation between total urban estimations of Europe
1700-1800
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7
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- Limits of Settlement Growth
- Low Density vs. High Density Settlements
- City Database
- Detailed analysis of 21 cities (Library of Congress)
- All estimates considered valid
- Total urban history
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8
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9
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10
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- ESTIMATORS
- Average Number of People per Dwelling
- Average Number of Families per Dwelling
- Average Number of People per Family
- Size of Dwellings
- Average Total Urban Population Density
- Average Urban Residential Population Density
- INDICATORS
- Walled Urban Area
- Total Urban Area
- Residential Area
- Number of Residential Hearths
- Number of Houses
- Nonresidential Area
- Number of Families
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11
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- Average Number of People per Dwelling
- 5.5 Taken from Alston (2002) The City in Roman and Byzantine Egypt
- Matches census data from London (average from 1801 and 1639)
- Average Floor Area per Residential House
- Average Number of Families per Dwelling
- 1.4 from Alston (2002)
- Supported by London Census data (average of 1.5 from 1639 - 1801)
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12
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- Average Number of People per Family
- Average Population Density of Urban Area
- Average Population Density of Residential Urban Area
- Residential Area vs. Total Area
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13
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14
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15
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16
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18
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19
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20
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21
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22
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23
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24
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25
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26
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27
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- Limitations for Bronze Age Estimations
- Estimators based upon London
- Hermopolis Example
- Limitations for Non West Asian Urban Populations
- Estimators based upon European settlements
- Need for multiple indicators to accurately create estimations
- Without multiple indicators becomes a single indicator method
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28
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- Low Density vs. High Density Cities (Fletcher)
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